{
  "id": "MP01-2019-PRICING-20261110",
  "created_at_utc": "2026-11-10T15:13:55.498074+00:00",
  "source_sha256": "670dee5d599fe280ffdd74365441b7abaf1b8d29ead00cf8ef046d6ef53b860e",
  "price_subset_sha256": "75601baff6777b25c909ac6a9547ab9271717afb550ce6e03d8878972bd1834c",
  "official_originals_verified": 3,
  "OIS_curve": [
    {
      "horizon": "2019:Q1",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": null,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.41
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2019:Q2",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 2.42,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.42
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2019:Q3",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.92,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.41
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2019:Q4",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.66,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.38
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2020:Q1",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.53,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.31
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2020:Q2",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.45,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.24
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2020:Q3",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.38,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.19
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2020:Q4",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.33,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.16
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2021:Q1",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.31,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.16
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2021:Q2",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.32,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.17
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2021:Q3",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.33,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.19
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2021:Q4",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.36,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.21
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2022:Q1",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.4,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.23
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2022:Q2",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.44,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.26
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2022:Q3",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.49,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.28
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2022:Q4",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.53,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": 2.3
    },
    {
      "horizon": "2023:Q1",
      "as_of_2019_07_01_percent": 1.57,
      "as_of_2018_12_28_percent": null
    }
  ],
  "OIS_2019Q4_repricing_basis_points": -72.0,
  "OIS_definition": "Fed staff spline-estimated federal funds path from OIS quotes, assuming zero term premium; not raw futures settlement, not certain outcome, not Treasury yield",
  "OIS_observation_date": "2019-07-01",
  "report_publication_date": "2019-07-05",
  "report_release_time_known": false,
  "decision_cutoff": "2019-07-08 close US Eastern",
  "treasury_yields": [
    {
      "date": "2018-12-31",
      "2y_percent": 2.48,
      "5y_percent": 2.51,
      "10y_percent": 2.69
    },
    {
      "date": "2019-06-28",
      "2y_percent": 1.75,
      "5y_percent": 1.76,
      "10y_percent": 2.0
    },
    {
      "date": "2019-07-01",
      "2y_percent": 1.78,
      "5y_percent": 1.79,
      "10y_percent": 2.03
    }
  ],
  "prior_realized_ETF_total_return_proxy": {
    "BIL": 0.011261677654170743,
    "GLD": 0.09855667586179129,
    "IEF": 0.0664871198703687,
    "SPY": 0.18326666350114373
  },
  "prior_window": [
    "2018-12-31",
    "2019-06-28"
  ],
  "price_sessions": 125,
  "raw_quotes_not_current_at_decision": true,
  "observed_repricing_proves_all_news_fully_priced": false,
  "future_strategy_returns": null,
  "admission": "Historical evidence case and prior-price arithmetic admitted; historical AI pricing-edge strategy rejected due absent sealed forecasts, contemporaneous ETF analytics and full dated curve panel",
  "missing": [
    "Sealed same-horizon AI forecasts before outcomes",
    "Original daily OIS curve and historical public availability",
    "Contemporaneous IEF key-rate duration/convexity/carry and cash return assumptions",
    "Out-of-sample forward observations"
  ],
  "all_source_hashes_unchanged": true
}